2018 Week 7 NFL Picks

Week 5: 11-4 Overall, 7-8 vs the spread

Denver 17, Arizona 14	DEN -1.5
Tennessee 20, LAC 31	LAC -6.5
Carolina 13, Philadelphia 20	PHI -4.5
Buffalo 19, Indianapolis 21	IND -7.5
Minnesota 24, NYJ 10	MIN -3
Detroit 17, Miami 20	DET -3
Cleveland 13, Tampa Bay 21	TB -3
Houston 20, Jacksonville 23	JAC -5
New England 28, Chicago 16	NE -3
New Orleans 27, Baltimore 24	BAL -2.5
LAR 38, San Francisco 13	LAR -9.5
Dallas 19, Washington 13	WAS -2
Cincinnati 24, Kansas City 38	KC -6
Atlanta 20, NYG 10	ATL -5.5

Notes: 

- Both Denver and Arizona have been terrible but Arizona's point differential is much worse. Von Miller has guaranteed a win. We'll see.

- Tennessee matches up better with teams that prefer to run the ball. Not sure they have an answer for the Chargers' passing game.
- The Eagles have momentum coming off last week's win over the Giants.
- Doesn't seem like the Colts should be favored by 7.5 over anybody.

- The Vikings cannot afford to look past this game despite hosting the Saints next Sunday night. This is also a chance for the Vikings to establish a 3 game winning streak.

- Picking against the Browns whenever possible.

- This might be a must-win game for Miami at home

- The Texans-Jaguars game seems like a tossup, so 5 points looks high. 

- Picking the Patriots because it's doubtful that the Bears' offense can keep up.

- The Saints have been on a roll since losing in Week 1 - they play at Baltimore, at Minnesota, and home vs. the Rams, so they cannot afford to come out flat.

- The Rams are the best team in the NFL this season, while the 49ers are looking to next year.

- Dallas-Washington should be close - picking against Washington as they have been less consistent week to week.

- Cincinnati for some reason struggles in night games and the Chiefs were explosive last week at New England.

- Picking Matt Ryan at home against the struggling Giants.