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2018 Week 10 NFL Picks Week 9: I'm not sure there's any readership for these picks, so I took a bye week in Week 9. Week 8: Win/loss: 13-0. Picks vs spread: 9-4 Week 10: Carolina 17, Pittsburgh 27 PIT -3.5 Detroit 17, Chicago 19 CHI -6.5 New Orleans 28, Cincinnati 31 NO -5.5 Atlanta 31, Cleveland 13 ATL -5.5 New England 28, Tennessee 20 NE -6.5 Jacksonville 13, Indianapolis 17 IND -3.5 Kansas City 27, Arizona 14 KC -16.5 Buffalo 13, NY Jets 10 NYJ -7 Washington 20, Tampa Bay 16 TB -3 LA Chargers 30, Oakland 27 LAC -9.5 Seattle 24, LA Rams 31 LAR -9.5 Dallas 17, Philadelphia 31 PHI -6.5 NY Giants 17, San Francisco 23 SF -3 Notes:  - Both the Panthers and Steelers are on winning streaks, with the Panthers scoring 78 in the last 2 games. Generally prefer to pick home teams on Thursday games. - The Lions' running game has disappe...
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2018 Week 8 NFL Picks Week 7: 10-4 Overall, 7-6-1 vs the spread Miami 16, Houston 20 HOU -7.5 Philadelphia 24, Jacksonville 10 PHI -3 NYJ 13, CHI 20 CHI -7.5 Tampa Bay 13, Cincinnati 28 CIN -4 Seattle 20, Detroit 13 DET -3 Denver 13, Kansas City 31 KC -10 Washington 17, NYG 13 NYG -1 Cleveland 9, Pittsburgh 20 PIT -8.5 Baltimore 17, Carolina 20 BAL -2 Indianapolis 24, Oakland 7 IND -3 San Francisco 14, Arizona 17 ARI -1 New Orleans 34, Minnesota 27 MIN -1 New England 34, Buffalo 27 NE -14 Notes:  - Preferable to take the home game in Thursday games. Miami is 1-3 in their last 4 games and Ryan Tannehill is out. The Dolphins have also lost Albert Wilson to IR. - The Eagles are another team that has gone 1-3 in their last 4 games and their next two against Jacksonville and Dallas are arguably must-win games ahead of their 11/18 game at ...
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2018 Week 7 NFL Picks Week 5: 11-4 Overall, 7-8 vs the spread Denver 17, Arizona 14 DEN -1.5 Tennessee 20, LAC 31 LAC -6.5 Carolina 13, Philadelphia 20 PHI -4.5 Buffalo 19, Indianapolis 21 IND -7.5 Minnesota 24, NYJ 10 MIN -3 Detroit 17, Miami 20 DET -3 Cleveland 13, Tampa Bay 21 TB -3 Houston 20, Jacksonville 23 JAC -5 New England 28, Chicago 16 NE -3 New Orleans 27, Baltimore 24 BAL -2.5 LAR 38, San Francisco 13 LAR -9.5 Dallas 19, Washington 13 WAS -2 Cincinnati 24, Kansas City 38 KC -6 Atlanta 20, NYG 10 ATL -5.5 Notes:  - Both Denver and Arizona have been terrible but Arizona's point differential is much worse. Von Miller has guaranteed a win. We'll see. - Tennessee matches up better with teams that prefer to run the ball. Not sure they have an answer for the Chargers' passing game. - The Eagles have momentum coming o...
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2018 Week 6 NFL Picks Week 5: 6-9 Overall, 6-9 vs the spread Philadelphia 24, NYG 20 PHI -2.5 Tampa Bay 27, Atlanta 31 ATL -3.5 Pittsburgh 27, Cincinnati 31 CIN -1.5 LAC 24, Cleveland 10 CLE -1 Seattle 19, Oakland 10 SEA -2.5 Chicago 17, Miami 20 CHI -3.5 Arizona 17, Minnesota 26 MIN -10 Indianapolis 24, NYJ 16 NYJ -1.5 Carolina 10, Washington 13 WAS -1 Buffalo 13, Houston 16 HOU -10 LAR 23, Denver 10 LAR -7 Jacksonville 24, Dallas 13 JAC -3 Baltimore 17, Tennessee 23 BAL -2.5 Kansas City 27, New England 34 NE -3.5 San Francisco 13, Green Bay 34 GB -9.5 Notes:  - Atlanta is 1-4, Tampa is 2-2. An Atlanta win at home evens that out a bit - Cincinnati has been more consistent than Pittsburgh - Cleveland's two wins are against the Jets and Ravens, neither of which has a good QB. Philip Rivers is playing well and the C...
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2018 Week 5 NFL Picks Week 4: 10-5 Overall, 8-7 vs the spread INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS NE -10.5 The Patriots bounced back last week against Miami. They will give up passing yards to Andrew Luck but should be able to stay ahead by multiple scores. New England 34, Indianapolis 17 TENNESSEE TITANS AT BUFFALO BILLS TEN -3.5 Buffalo has one win and three losses. All three losses were by 10+ points. Tennessee has won three close games. Tennessee 16, Buffalo 10 MIAMI DOLPHINS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS CIN -6.5 The Bengals have been consistently good, not great. Last week's Dolphins' loss was a blueprint for other teams. Cincinnati 31, Miami 20 BALTIMORE RAVENS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS BAL -3 Better to pick against Cleveland until there's reason not to. Baltimore 30, Cleveland 23 GREEN BAY PACKERS AT DETROIT LIONS GB -1.5 With the Detroit Lions, you have a team that couldn't beat the Cowboys last week going against Aaron Rodgers. T...
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2018 Week 4 NFL Picks Week 3: 7-9 overall, 4-12 vs. the spread MINNESOTA VIKINGS AT LA RAMS LAR -7 The Rams have been the best team in the NFL through the first 3 weeks and are home on a Thursday. Los Angeles 28, Minnesota 17 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT TENNESSEE TITANS PHI -4 The Eagles have a better chance of figuring out the Titans' defense than the other way around. Philadelphia 20, Tennessee 10 CINCINNATI BENGALS AT ATLANTA FALCONS ATL -5.5 Atlanta is dealing with numerous injuries on defense - also looks like Devonta Freeman will be out again. Cincinnati should be able to split its back to back road games against the NFC South. Cincinnati 31, Atlanta 24 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS AT CHICAGO BEARS CHI -3 Assuming Ryan Fitzpatrick starts, the Buccaneers' offense has been more reliable than the Bears'. Tampa Bay 20, Chicago 16 DETROIT LIONS AT DALLAS COWBOYS DAL -3 Not much confidence in either of these teams, but maybe Matt Patricia's su...
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2018 Week 3 NFL Picks Week 2: 8-8 overall, 4-12 vs the spread Weeks 1-2: 18-14 overall, 13-20 vs the spread NY JETS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS CLE -3 Going back to last season, Cleveland is 0-17-1 in their last 18 games. Glad to pick against them taking a NY Jets team that has already won on the road. New York 20, Cleveland 17 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES PHI -6.5 Indianapolis should be content with splitting back to back road games versus the NFC East after beating Washington last week. Carson Wentz' return changes the Eagles' passing offense from short, high percentage throws to the ability to attack downfield. Philadelphia 24, Indianapolis 10 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS AT ATLANTA FALCONS ATL -3 Atlanta has more at stake in this game with a harder schedule in the next few weeks. The Falcons have also played better up to now - the Saints need to figure out what they're doing on defense. Atlanta 31, New Orleans 27 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT KANSA...
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