2018 Week 10 NFL Picks

Week 9: I'm not sure there's any readership for these picks, so I took a bye week in Week 9.
Week 8: Win/loss: 13-0. Picks vs spread: 9-4

Week 10:

Carolina 17, Pittsburgh 27	PIT -3.5
Detroit 17, Chicago 19	CHI -6.5
New Orleans 28, Cincinnati 31	NO -5.5
Atlanta 31, Cleveland 13	ATL -5.5
New England 28, Tennessee 20	NE -6.5
Jacksonville 13, Indianapolis 17	IND -3.5
Kansas City 27, Arizona 14	KC -16.5
Buffalo 13, NY Jets 10	NYJ -7
Washington 20, Tampa Bay 16	TB -3
LA Chargers 30, Oakland 27	LAC -9.5
Seattle 24, LA Rams 31	LAR -9.5
Dallas 17, Philadelphia 31	PHI -6.5
NY Giants 17, San Francisco 23	SF -3

Notes: 

- Both the Panthers and Steelers are on winning streaks, with the Panthers scoring 78 in the last 2 games. Generally prefer to pick home teams on Thursday games.

- The Lions' running game has disappeared while the Bears have been consistent.

- Could be wrong about the Bengals' getting an upset at home, but this is one of the Saints' tougher remaining home games.

- Assuming that the Browns will lose most games from here on out.

- Assuming that the Patriots will win most games from here on out.

- There are certain games where Andrew Luck can win despite having a less talented team. Not sure where Jaguars would find the offense to get out of a 4 game losing streak.

- Expect KC to win but 17 points seems too high.

- Think Buffalo will find a way to not use Peterman at QB.

- Washington's formula at Tampa Bay should be to avoid turnovers and run the clock. 

- Oakland is playing for draft picks and should lose the game, but the Chargers aren't great at covering on the road.

- The Seahawks lost by 2 in the first matchup with the Rams. Think they'll find a way to stay within a score.

- More optimistic about the Eagles' passing game and defense than anything the Cowboys can do.

- Picking Shanahan's 49ers over the low-energy Giants.